Younger consumers feel better about spending money, according to new research. Make sure they’re shopping with you this BFCM
Inflation is still hitting consumers hard, regardless of age.
But according to new research, younger generations are more likely than their older counterparts to indulge in discretionary and luxury purchases—and to increase their holiday spending this season.
Based on responses from 3K+ US consumers, a new survey from Klaviyo and Qualtrics finds that while inflation is impacting current spending habits for 91% of consumers and future spending plans for 69%, Gen Zs and millennials are more likely to feel optimistic about the economy and its impact on their future spending plans—including over the holidays.
As student loan payments start up again and total American credit card debt exceeds $1T, financial confidence in any demographic presents unique opportunities for marketers looking to understand shopping behavior during times of economic uncertainty—and act on it in time to drive real business results this Black Friday Cyber Monday.
“Now more than ever, it’s vital to spend time analyzing your customer segment behavior,” says Sean MacBeth, interim leader of growth marketing at Chameleon Collective.
“Using this research,” MacBeth says, “you can develop a strategy that activates your first-party data in both owned and paid media channels to produce outcomes that drive profitable new customer acquisition and higher retention rates.”
Read on to learn more about how consumers feel about the economic outlook, their current spending habits vs. their future spending plans, and where—and how—they plan to shop this holiday season.
Economic perception: proceeding with caution
Overall, opinion of the current US economy is cautious: Over half of consumers feel negatively about the current state of the US economy (59%) and believe it’s trending downward (53%).
Still, 42% feel neutral or positive, and 46% believe it’s holding steady or on its way up—suggesting economic perception is relatively split and consumers are proceeding with caution.
Most consumers (91%) are already feeling the impact of inflation on their spending habits, and more than 4 in 5 have adjusted their spending habits in response. 69% of consumers believe inflation will continue to impact their spending in the future.
While only 9% say inflation is not currently affecting and is not likely to affect their spending decisions, 22% of consumers believe the impact of inflation will be short-term, and don’t expect it to have much of an effect on their future spending.
While Gen Zs and millennials are feeling the effects of economic headwinds as much as their older counterparts, younger generations are more likely to take an optimistic view of the economy and its potential impact on their future spending.
How to apply these findings to your marketing: build perceived value
“Knowingly or not, consumers solve for the equation of perceived value divided by cost,” says Spencer Flaherty, internal marketing manager at Groove Commerce. “If the result equals 1 or higher, they’re likely to purchase.”
“It all comes back to: What’s your ‘why’?” asks Matt Fier, VP of retention marketing at QDL Agency. “Show your value, build perceived value, and build exclusivity.”
To increase the perceived value of your product or service during a time of financial uncertainty, “demonstrate the various use cases and durability of your product for years to come,” Flaherty suggests. “Craft offers that address consumer concerns and objections head-on.”
In that area, Fier challenges brands to keep it simple: “Figure out what you believe your top 3-5 objections will be, and hone in your messaging to 3 of them. Then, craft messages based on data to get over broader, macro trend objections.”
For example, “if you’re selling motorcycle crash protection to Gen X and boomer customers, offer a low-cost replacement warranty for riders who take a spill,” Flaherty says. “For Gen Z and millennial customers, showcase your gear’s features and styles.”
You can also consider updating your sign-up form incentives to reflect greater deals during the holiday season, says Mckenzie Hibler, director of ecommerce marketing at Groove Commerce.
As Flaherty explains, “these methods will increase the perceived value of your product to each demographic group when compared to a perceived high initial investment cost.”
Consumer budget allocation: essentials are taking over
On average, consumers are allocating most of their budgets to conventional items such as food (82%), utilities (56%), and transportation (54%). These spending allocations are similar to last year, when consumers spent 73%, 67%, and 61% of their budgets on these categories, respectively.
Like this past year, most consumers (69%) expect to invest the majority of their incomes in these areas over the next year—placing an emphasis on conventional goods, and being more diligent about discretionary spending.
Similarly, due to current lending standards and credit availability, nearly half (47%) of consumers are hesitant to make larger purchases, opting to either delay their purchase plans (53%), postpone the purchase indefinitely (39%), downsize the purchase or find a more affordable option (36%), or focus on saving more so they can make a larger down payment (24%).
But “even in a shrinking market, there will be winners and losers,” Flaherty points out. “Those who manage to win during ‘bad times’ will see their efforts returned tenfold when the market turns around.”
What this means in practice, Flaherty adds, “will vary widely between product categories and individual merchants.”
Current vs. future spending: conventional items demand the most dollars
Across the board, consumer spending has increased on conventional items such as food (57%), utilities (56%), transportation (52%), and health products (32%).
Average consumer spending has decreased, meanwhile, in categories such as jewelry and watches (44%), home decor and furniture (39%), hobbies (38%), entertainment outside the home (38%), and travel for fun (38%).
Over the next year, 69% of consumers expect to spend the majority of their income on conventional goods like groceries, utilities, and transportation—and 40% say this marks a shift in their normal spending habits.
Note that whereas older consumers are more likely to attribute this shift to higher costs and concerns over the economy, Gen Zs and millennials are more likely to say it’s because they’re saving for something big.
Younger generations are also more likely than older ones to plan on increasing their spend on food, travel for fun, and apparel and accessories over the next year.
How to apply these findings to your marketing: be aggressive
Whether your brand sells discretionary items, conventional goods, or both, Flaherty suggests implementing the methodology of Alex Hormozi: “Make an offer so good, people feel stupid saying no.”
“Since the majority of discretionary spending will be done by younger consumers, we should target our messages to them directly,” Flaherty explains.
For a company selling pet-related products, for example, a great offer might look something like this, Flaherty says: “Try our ‘real-life’ sound-emitting electronic bird chase, guaranteed to increase your cat’s interactivity or your money back. Shipping is on us.”
On the other hand, “since conventional goods spending is rising—due to inflation, not increased demand—demonstrate the increased value your product offers over others at the same price point,” Flaherty suggests.
A company selling fitness supplements, for example, might craft an offer that promises something like this, Flaherty says: “Our $24.99 container has been independently measured to provide 15% longer-lasting effects than [Main Competitor].”
In categories where spend is increasing, Fier urges marketers to “be as aggressive as possible.”
“Be willing to take smaller overall net profits by believing you’ll retain them for returning purchases later on,” Fier suggests. “We talk a lot about customer acquisition costs (CACs) with paid media, but I like to view BFCM as an opportunity to have higher CACs for retention conversions because I believe we will reconvert them after that holiday purchase.”
Similarly, in categories where spend is decreasing, “focus on your hero products and push those heavily,” Fier advises. “Take your products’ value propositions and push messaging that gets shoppers to choose you over a competitor or better offer—because there will almost always be a better offer.”
Goods vs. services: deals and discounts drive spending for both
Half (50%) of consumers currently allocate an equal amount of their budget to goods and services, while a third (33%) allocate more to goods.
Over the next 6 months, half (50%) of consumers expect this budget allocation to stay the same, while nearly a third (32%) expect to allocate more to goods than services.
While Gen Xers and baby boomers are more likely than their younger counterparts to allocate more of their current budget to goods than services, they’re also more likely to have decreased their spending in both categories over the past year. Gen Zs and millennials, meanwhile, are more likely to have increased spending on both goods and services over the past year.
Deals and discounts are top drivers for both goods and services spend (42% and 44%, respectively), while a desire for experiences and entertainment (50%) drives people to allocate more of their budgets toward services.
Of those who spend more money on goods, older generations tend to be more interested in upgrades and replacements, whereas younger consumers tend to be more interested in either new products that enhance their home environments, or simply collecting more personal belongings.
How to apply these findings to your marketing: make it personal
If you sell products or services that promise an experience, “remember that even customers with the best intentions have personal motivations,” Flaherty says. “Demonstrate how the experience can be shared by both the gift giver and the recipient. Consider tapping into the ethos of the give-gifter by alluding to the bond that the two will build together.”
Luxury spending: the “lipstick effect” works on younger generations
Nearly half (47%) of consumers feel at least moderately comfortable spending money on small luxuries and other non-essentials.